Carbon Credit Market Size, Share and Forecast 2026 to 2035

Report Id: 1742 Pages: 180 Last Updated: 02 February 2026 Format: PDF / PPT / Excel / Power BI
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Global Carbon Credit Market Size is valued at USD 686.14 Billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach USD 9,368.24 Billion by the year 2035 at a 30.0% CAGR during the forecast period for 2026 to 2035.

Carbon Credit Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Type (Voluntary Market, Compliance Market), Type of Project (Avoidance/Reduction Projects, Removal/Sequestration Projects (Nature-Based, Technology-Based)), Application (Aviation, Building, Energy, Power, Industrial, Transportation), By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2026 to 2035.

Carbon Credit Market Infographics

A carbon credit is a tradable permit or certificate allowing the holder to emit one tonne of CO2 or the equivalent amount of another greenhouse gas. It is effectively an offset for those who produce such gases. As the global warming movement gains traction, carbon markets are becoming increasingly important in reaching net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions. 

Carbon capture solutions are now leading the race against global warming as they develop and deploy innovative, scalable carbon capture technology that will allow us to stop the flow of carbon dioxide and extract the already emitted carbon dioxide. Around the globe, many international, national, and sub-national market mechanisms are being developed. The rising variety of carbon markets necessitates a robust regulatory framework to avoid hazards such as activities being counted twice.

However, against the backdrop of COVID consequences and economic recoveries, more emphasis is being made on the promise of carbon markets to achieve climate goals while also supporting other socioeconomic goals efficiently. 

Competitive Landscape:

Some of the Carbon Credit market players are:

  • 3 Degrees
  • AltaGas
  • Bluesource Llc
  • Carbon Care Asia Limited
  • Carbon Credit Capital
  • Carbonbetter
  • Carbonfund
  • Clearsky Climate Solutions
  • Climate Impact Partners
  • Climate Trade
  • Climatepartner Gmbh
  • Climeco LLC
  • Climetrek Ltd.
  • Cool Effect, Inc.
  • Degrees Group Inc.
  • EcoAct
  • Eki Energy Services Ltd.
  • Enking International
  • Finite Carbon
  • Forest Carbon
  • Green Mountain Energy
  • Moss Earth
  • Native Energy
  • Natureoffice Gmbh
  • South Pole Group
  • Sterling Planet, Inc.
  • Sustainable Travel International
  • Tasman Environmental Markets
  • Terrapass
  • WGL Holdings, Inc.

Market Segmentation:

The Carbon Credit Market is segmented based on type, type of project, and Application. Type segment includes voluntary Market (forestry and land use, renewable energy, chemical processes/Industrial manufacturing, energy efficiency/fuel switching) and compliance market (EU ETS, California CAP and Trade, and others. The Type of Project segment includes avoidance/reduction projects and removal/sequestration projects (nature-based, technology-based). By Application, the Market is segmented into power, energy, aviation, transportation, building, industrial, and others.

Based On The Voluntary Market, The Forestry And Land Use Segment Is Accounted As A Significant Contributor In The Carbon Credit Market

The forestry and land use category is expected to hold a substantial share in the global market in 2024. Tropical forests encompass around 15% of the world's land surface and contain approximately 25% of the carbon on the planet's surface. Forest loss and degradation account for 15 to 20% of global carbon emissions. The majority of these emissions are caused by deforestation in the tropics, primarily as a result of forest conversion to more lucrative economic activities such as agriculture and mining. Over the last ten years, the Market for forest carbon credits has grown dramatically.

The Power Segment Witnessed Growth At A Rapid Rate

The power segment is projected to grow at a rapid rate in the global Carbon Credit Market. This segment's dominance can be ascribed to the strong demand for energy generation, which results in significant emissions from power utilities. As a result, there will be a high need for carbon trading platforms.

In The Region, Asia Pacific Carbon Credit Market Holds A Significant Revenue Share

Between 2023 and 2031, Asia-Pacific is anticipated to experience the most rapid growth in the market, followed by Europe. Asia Pacific Carbon Credit Market position is expected to register the highest market share in terms of revenue in the near future. Investments in clean power generation and electrification, as well as acceptance of carbon credit by businesses and local government entities, are driving the regional market expansion.

Also, Europe region has also experienced substantial industrial growth, which has increased demand for carbon credit trading platforms. Many countries in Europe have publicly committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. Because the carbon market is regarded as a vital tool for achieving these goals, the compliance and voluntary global market is expected to increase in the future years.

Carbon Credit Market Regional Analysis

Carbon Credit Market Report Scope:

Report Attribute Specifications
Market size value in 2025 USD 686.14 Billion 
Revenue forecast in 2035 USD 9.368.24 Billion 
Growth rate CAGR CAGR of 30.0% from 2026 to 2035
Quantitative units Representation of revenue in US$ Bn, and CAGR from 2026 to 2035
Historic Year 2022 to 2025
Forecast Year 2026-2035
Report coverage The forecast of revenue, the position of the company, the competitive market statistics, growth prospects, and trends
Segments covered Type, Type of Project, And Application
Regional scope North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; Middle East & Africa
Country scope U.S.; Canada; U.K.; Germany; China; India; Japan; Brazil; Mexico; The UK; France; Italy; Spain; China; Japan; India; South Korea; Southeast Asia; South Korea; Southeast Asia
Competitive Landscape South Pole Group, 3Degrees, Finite Carbon, EKI Energy Services Ltd., NativeEnergy, CarbonBetter, Carbon Care Asia Limited, Terrapass, Climetrek Ltd., Carbon Credit Capital, NatureOffice GmbH, Climate Partner GmbH, Climate Trade, ForestCarbon, Moss. Earth, Bluesource LLC, TEM (Tasman Environmental Markets), Climate Impact Partners, Carbonfund, and Climeco LLC.
Customization scope Free customization report with the procurement of the report, Modifications to the regional and segment scope. Particular Geographic competitive landscape.
Pricing and available payment methods Explore pricing alternatives that are customized to your particular study requirements.

Segmentation of Carbon Credit Market-

Carbon Credit Market By Type-

  • Voluntary Market
    • Forestry and Land Use
    • Renewable Energy
    • Chemical Processes/Industrial Manufacturing
    • Energy Efficiency/Fuel Switching
  • Compliance Market
    • EU ETS
    • California CAP and Trade
    • Others 

Carbon Credit Market Segmentation Analysis

Carbon Credit Market By Type of Project-

  • Avoidance/Reduction Projects
  • Removal/Sequestration Projects
    • Nature-Based
    • Technology-Based.

Carbon Credit Market By Application-

  • Aviation
  • Building
  • Energy
  • Industrial
  • Power
  • Transportation
  • Others

Carbon Credit Market By Region-

North America-

  • The US
  • Canada
  • Mexico

Europe-

  • Germany
  • The UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe

Asia-Pacific-

  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • Southeast Asia
  • Rest of Asia Pacific

Latin America-

  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Rest of Latin America

 Middle East & Africa-

  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of the Middle East and Africa

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Research Design and Approach

This study employed a multi-step, mixed-method research approach that integrates:

  • Secondary research
  • Primary research
  • Data triangulation
  • Hybrid top-down and bottom-up modelling
  • Forecasting and scenario analysis

This approach ensures a balanced and validated understanding of both macro- and micro-level market factors influencing the market.

Secondary Research

Secondary research for this study involved the collection, review, and analysis of publicly available and paid data sources to build the initial fact base, understand historical market behaviour, identify data gaps, and refine the hypotheses for primary research.

Sources Consulted

Secondary data for the market study was gathered from multiple credible sources, including:

  • Government databases, regulatory bodies, and public institutions
  • International organizations (WHO, OECD, IMF, World Bank, etc.)
  • Commercial and paid databases
  • Industry associations, trade publications, and technical journals
  • Company annual reports, investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings
  • Academic research papers, patents, and scientific literature
  • Previous market research publications and syndicated reports

These sources were used to compile historical data, market volumes/prices, industry trends, technological developments, and competitive insights.

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Primary research was conducted to validate secondary data, understand real-time market dynamics, capture price points and adoption trends, and verify the assumptions used in the market modelling.

Stakeholders Interviewed

Primary interviews for this study involved:

  • Manufacturers and suppliers in the market value chain
  • Distributors, channel partners, and integrators
  • End-users / customers (e.g., hospitals, labs, enterprises, consumers, etc., depending on the market)
  • Industry experts, technology specialists, consultants, and regulatory professionals
  • Senior executives (CEOs, CTOs, VPs, Directors) and product managers

Interview Process

Interviews were conducted via:

  • Structured and semi-structured questionnaires
  • Telephonic and video interactions
  • Email correspondences
  • Expert consultation sessions

Primary insights were incorporated into demand modelling, pricing analysis, technology evaluation, and market share estimation.

Data Processing, Normalization, and Validation

All collected data were processed and normalized to ensure consistency and comparability across regions and time frames.

The data validation process included:

  • Standardization of units (currency conversions, volume units, inflation adjustments)
  • Cross-verification of data points across multiple secondary sources
  • Normalization of inconsistent datasets
  • Identification and resolution of data gaps
  • Outlier detection and removal through algorithmic and manual checks
  • Plausibility and coherence checks across segments and geographies

This ensured that the dataset used for modelling was clean, robust, and reliable.

Market Size Estimation and Data Triangulation

Bottom-Up Approach

The bottom-up approach involved aggregating segment-level data, such as:

  • Company revenues
  • Product-level sales
  • Installed base/usage volumes
  • Adoption and penetration rates
  • Pricing analysis

This method was primarily used when detailed micro-level market data were available.

Bottom Up Approach

Top-Down Approach

The top-down approach used macro-level indicators:

  • Parent market benchmarks
  • Global/regional industry trends
  • Economic indicators (GDP, demographics, spending patterns)
  • Penetration and usage ratios

This approach was used for segments where granular data were limited or inconsistent.

Hybrid Triangulation Approach

To ensure accuracy, a triangulated hybrid model was used. This included:

  • Reconciling top-down and bottom-up estimates
  • Cross-checking revenues, volumes, and pricing assumptions
  • Incorporating expert insights to validate segment splits and adoption rates

This multi-angle validation yielded the final market size.

Forecasting Framework and Scenario Modelling

Market forecasts were developed using a combination of time-series modelling, adoption curve analysis, and driver-based forecasting tools.

Forecasting Methods

  • Time-series modelling
  • S-curve and diffusion models (for emerging technologies)
  • Driver-based forecasting (GDP, disposable income, adoption rates, regulatory changes)
  • Price elasticity models
  • Market maturity and lifecycle-based projections

Scenario Analysis

Given inherent uncertainties, three scenarios were constructed:

  • Base-Case Scenario: Expected trajectory under current conditions
  • Optimistic Scenario: High adoption, favourable regulation, strong economic tailwinds
  • Conservative Scenario: Slow adoption, regulatory delays, economic constraints

Sensitivity testing was conducted on key variables, including pricing, demand elasticity, and regional adoption.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Carbon Credit Market Size is valued at USD 686.14 Billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach USD 9,368.24 Billion by the year 2035

Carbon Credit Market expected to grow at a 30.0% CAGR during the forecast period for 2026-2035

South Pole Group, 3Degrees, Finite Carbon, EKI Energy Services Ltd., NativeEnergy, CarbonBetter, Carbon Care Asia Limited, Terrapass, Climetrek Ltd.

Carbon Credit Market is segmented based on type, type of project, and Application. Type segment includes voluntary Market (forestry and land use, renewable energy, chemical processes/Industrial manufacturing, energy efficiency/fuel switching).

Asia–Pacific region is leading the Carbon Credit Market.
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