Biorefinery Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Type (First Generation, Second Generation, and Third Generation), Technology (Industrial Biotechnology, Physico-Chemical, and Thermochemical), Product (Energy driven, and Material driven), By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2025-2034

Report Id: 1666 Pages: 180 Last Updated: 30 May 2025 Format: PDF / PPT / Excel / Power BI
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Biorefinery Market Size is valued at 182.38 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach 435.68 billion by the year 2034 at a 9.2% CAGR during the forecast period for 2025-2034

Biorefinery Market info

The market for biorefineries is still in its infancy, but it is anticipated to expand rapidly over the next ten years due to rising environmental concerns. Mandates and regulations worldwide are also expected to increase demand for goods made from biomass. The California Low-carbon Fuel Standard mandates that fuel suppliers cut GHG emissions by 10% by 2020. Also, the industry has been forced to turn its attention to biofuels due to the world's diminishing fossil fuel supplies to meet the rising need for energy.

Several end-use industries, including agriculture, transportation, chemicals, and aviation, have expressed interest in biomass-based goods. Yet, the sector needs help with building the required infrastructure. Major players in the market have been concentrating on applying the best technologies (for gasification, fermentation, and chemical conversion) to ensure that these bio-based products reach a break-even point to overcome this obstacle. Participants in the industry have been concentrating on the entire biomass product supply chain, from raw materials to end-use enterprises via distribution centers. 

Recent Developments:

  • In May 2022, The Panamanian government collaborated with a group of top energy businesses, led by SGP BioEnergy, to build the largest centre for the production and distribution of biofuels in the entire globe. The Biorefineria Ciudad Dorada (Golden City Biorefinery), which will be built in Colon and Balboa, Panama, in five years, will be the world's biggest advanced biorefinery and Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) production platform, producing 180,000 barrels of biofuel per day (2.6 billion gallons annually). 

Competitive Landscape:

Some of the Biorefinery market players are:

  • AB HOLDING SPA (Italy)
  • Assam Biorefinery Private Limited.,
  • Borregard AS,
  • BP PLC
  • BTS Biogas Srl/GmbH (Italy)
  • Chempolis (Finland)
  • Clariant
  • Cargill Incorporated,
  • Godavari Biorefineries Ltd.,
  • Honeywell International Inc. (U.S.)
  • IES BIOGAS srl (Italy)
  • Neste
  • Ørsted A/S (Denmark)
  • Renewable Energy Group,
  • Sekab, Green Plains Inc.,
  • TotalEnergies,
  • UPM Global (Finland)
  • Valero
  • Versalis SpA.
  • Vivergo Fuels
  • Wilmar International Ltd.
  • Zea2 Bioworks (U.S.) 

Market Segmentation:

The Biorefinery market is segmented based on type, product, and technology. Based on type, the market is segmented as the first, second, and third generation. The product segment includes energy-driven and material driven. By technology, the market is segmented into industrial biotechnology, physicochemical, and thermochemical.

Based On Type, The First-Generation Biofuels Segment Is Valued As A Major Contributor To The Biorefinery Market

The first-generation biofuels category will hold a significant share of the global Biorefinery market in 2021. The biomass directly related to first-generation biofuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, is frequently edible. Typically, GMO or conventional yeast strains like Saccharomyces cerevisiae ferment C6 carbohydrates, primarily glucose, to generate ethanol. Only a few different feedstocks are utilized to synthesize first-generation bioethanol, primarily sugarcane or corn.

Thermochemical Segment Witnessed Growth At A Rapid Rate

The thermochemical segment is projected to grow at a rapid rate in the global Biorefinery market. Multiproduction is a promising option for thermochemical biorefineries looking to lower investment risk. It encourages revenue diversification, makes it possible to integrate materials and energy more effectively, and increases profitability, all of which could help thermochemical biorefineries develop more effectively in the future.

In The Region, The North America Biorefinery Market Holds A Significant Revenue Share

One of the largest aviation markets may be found in the North American continent, which also has a well-established fossil fuel-based infrastructure for land transportation. In order to reduce the greenhouse effect, North America has been at the forefront of reducing emissions. With noteworthy investments in R&D and a large number of biofuel patents to its name, the United States is the region's top producer of advanced biofuels. The United States produced 643 thousand barrels of oil equivalent of biofuel a day in 2021, up roughly 7.1% over the previous year's value, according to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2022. (602 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day).

Biorefinery Market Report Scope:

Report Attribute Specifications
Market size value in 2024 USD 182.38 Bn
Revenue forecast in 2034 USD 435.68 Bn
Growth rate CAGR CAGR of 9.2% from 2025 to 2034
Quantitative units Representation of revenue in US$ Billion, and CAGR from 2025 to 2034
Historic Year 2021 to 2024
Forecast Year 2025-2034
Report coverage The forecast of revenue, the position of the company, the competitive market statistics, growth prospects, and trends
Segments covered Type, Product, And Technology
Regional scope North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; Middle East & Africa
Country scope U.S.; Canada; U.K.; Germany; China; India; Japan; Brazil; Mexico; The UK; France; Italy; Spain; South Korea; Southeast Asia
Competitive Landscape Valero, TotalEnergies, Neste, Renewable Energy Group, Vivergo Fuels, Borregard AS, Wilmar International Ltd., Godavari Biorefineries Ltd., Assam Biorefinery Private Limited., Sekab, Green Plains Inc., Cragil Incorporated, Clariant, Versalis SpA., and BP PLC.
Customization scope Free customization report with the procurement of the report, Modifications to the regional and segment scope. Particular Geographic competitive landscape.
Pricing and available payment methods Explore pricing alternatives that are customized to your particular study requirements.

Segmentation of Biorefinery Market-

Biorefinery Market By Type-

  • First Generation
  • Second Generation
  • Third Generation

Biorefinery Market

Biorefinery Market By Product-

  • Energy Driven
  • Material Driven

Biorefinery Market By Technology-

  • Industrial Biotechnology
  • Physico-Chemical
  • Thermochemical

By Region-

North America-

  • The US
  • Canada

Europe-

  • Germany
  • The UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe

Asia-Pacific-

  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • South East Asia
  • Rest of Asia Pacific

Latin America-

  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Mexico
  • Rest of Latin America

 Middle East & Africa-

  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East and Africa

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Research Design and Approach

This study employed a multi-step, mixed-method research approach that integrates:

  • Secondary research
  • Primary research
  • Data triangulation
  • Hybrid top-down and bottom-up modelling
  • Forecasting and scenario analysis

This approach ensures a balanced and validated understanding of both macro- and micro-level market factors influencing the market.

Secondary Research

Secondary research for this study involved the collection, review, and analysis of publicly available and paid data sources to build the initial fact base, understand historical market behaviour, identify data gaps, and refine the hypotheses for primary research.

Sources Consulted

Secondary data for the market study was gathered from multiple credible sources, including:

  • Government databases, regulatory bodies, and public institutions
  • International organizations (WHO, OECD, IMF, World Bank, etc.)
  • Commercial and paid databases
  • Industry associations, trade publications, and technical journals
  • Company annual reports, investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings
  • Academic research papers, patents, and scientific literature
  • Previous market research publications and syndicated reports

These sources were used to compile historical data, market volumes/prices, industry trends, technological developments, and competitive insights.

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Primary research was conducted to validate secondary data, understand real-time market dynamics, capture price points and adoption trends, and verify the assumptions used in the market modelling.

Stakeholders Interviewed

Primary interviews for this study involved:

  • Manufacturers and suppliers in the market value chain
  • Distributors, channel partners, and integrators
  • End-users / customers (e.g., hospitals, labs, enterprises, consumers, etc., depending on the market)
  • Industry experts, technology specialists, consultants, and regulatory professionals
  • Senior executives (CEOs, CTOs, VPs, Directors) and product managers

Interview Process

Interviews were conducted via:

  • Structured and semi-structured questionnaires
  • Telephonic and video interactions
  • Email correspondences
  • Expert consultation sessions

Primary insights were incorporated into demand modelling, pricing analysis, technology evaluation, and market share estimation.

Data Processing, Normalization, and Validation

All collected data were processed and normalized to ensure consistency and comparability across regions and time frames.

The data validation process included:

  • Standardization of units (currency conversions, volume units, inflation adjustments)
  • Cross-verification of data points across multiple secondary sources
  • Normalization of inconsistent datasets
  • Identification and resolution of data gaps
  • Outlier detection and removal through algorithmic and manual checks
  • Plausibility and coherence checks across segments and geographies

This ensured that the dataset used for modelling was clean, robust, and reliable.

Market Size Estimation and Data Triangulation

Bottom-Up Approach

The bottom-up approach involved aggregating segment-level data, such as:

  • Company revenues
  • Product-level sales
  • Installed base/usage volumes
  • Adoption and penetration rates
  • Pricing analysis

This method was primarily used when detailed micro-level market data were available.

Bottom Up Approach

Top-Down Approach

The top-down approach used macro-level indicators:

  • Parent market benchmarks
  • Global/regional industry trends
  • Economic indicators (GDP, demographics, spending patterns)
  • Penetration and usage ratios

This approach was used for segments where granular data were limited or inconsistent.

Hybrid Triangulation Approach

To ensure accuracy, a triangulated hybrid model was used. This included:

  • Reconciling top-down and bottom-up estimates
  • Cross-checking revenues, volumes, and pricing assumptions
  • Incorporating expert insights to validate segment splits and adoption rates

This multi-angle validation yielded the final market size.

Forecasting Framework and Scenario Modelling

Market forecasts were developed using a combination of time-series modelling, adoption curve analysis, and driver-based forecasting tools.

Forecasting Methods

  • Time-series modelling
  • S-curve and diffusion models (for emerging technologies)
  • Driver-based forecasting (GDP, disposable income, adoption rates, regulatory changes)
  • Price elasticity models
  • Market maturity and lifecycle-based projections

Scenario Analysis

Given inherent uncertainties, three scenarios were constructed:

  • Base-Case Scenario: Expected trajectory under current conditions
  • Optimistic Scenario: High adoption, favourable regulation, strong economic tailwinds
  • Conservative Scenario: Slow adoption, regulatory delays, economic constraints

Sensitivity testing was conducted on key variables, including pricing, demand elasticity, and regional adoption.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Biorefinery Market Size is valued at 182.38 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach 435.68 billion by the year 2034

Biorefinery Market expected to grow at a 9.2% CAGR during the forecast period for 2025-2034

Valero, TotalEnergies, Neste, Renewable Energy Group, Vivergo Fuels, Borregard AS, Wilmar International Ltd., Godavari Biorefineries Ltd., Assam Biore

Biorefinery market is segmented based on type, product, and technology.

North America region is leading the Biorefinery market.
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