Non-GMO Flour Market, Share & Trends Analysis Report, By Product Type (Wheat Flour, Corn Flour, Rice Flour, Almond Flour), By Distribution Channel (Online Retail, Supermarkets, Health Food Stores, Wholesale), By End Use, By Form, By Region, and Segment Forecasts, 2024-2031

Report Id: 2873 Pages: 172 Last Updated: 07 November 2024 Format: PDF / PPT / Excel / Power BI
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The Non-GMO Flour Market Size is valued at USD 27.7 Bn in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 37.2 Bn by the year 2031 at an 3.9% CAGR during the forecast period for 2024-2031.

non gmo flour

Non-GMO flour is made from traditional types of wheat, corn, or other grains grown without genetically modified seeds, ensuring that it contains no genetically modified organisms (GMOs). GMOs are plants or animals whose DNA has been altered through biotechnology to improve crop yields or enhance insect resistance.

Consumers often choose non-GMO flour due to concerns about the environmental, health, and ethical impacts of GMOs. While organic certification follows a different standard, some individuals prefer non-GMO products as they are more likely to align with organic farming practices. Non-GMO flour is often seen as a healthier option because it avoids genetic modification, which may appeal to consumers focused on natural and minimally processed foods. It also appeals to consumers looking for more natural or less-processed baking ingredients, as it is viewed as a healthier option. Additionally, non-GMO flour plays a significant role in whole-food, plant-based diets by supporting a minimally processed and natural food philosophy.

Many producers are adopting regenerative farming practices to improve soil health, reduce carbon emissions, and enhance biodiversity, resulting in higher-quality, more nutrient-dense grains. At the same time, the use of digitization to boost brand and name recognition is a growing trend in the industry. However, smaller companies with limited marketing budgets may not be able to compete with larger corporations in terms of promotional efforts. In such cases, they can collaborate with well-known brands or create eye-catching strategies to gain free publicity, such as promoting climate action by encouraging customers to recycle bottles and informing local and national media about their initiatives. To expand their consumer base, share costs, and promote their brand and products, companies can also enter into cooperative marketing agreements.

Additionally, non-GMO food producers are driving the global non-GMO food industry by using smart labeling to make product data more accessible and employing unique packaging to attract and engage consumers. The growth of the non-GMO sector is further supported by organizations dedicated to product safety, quality, and transparent labeling that reflect the values of global consumers. Shifting consumer preferences toward healthier options is also contributing to the market’s expansion.

Competitive Landscape

Some of the Major Key Players in the Non-GMO Flour market are

  • Munkebo
  • Cargill, Incorporated
  • Bunge Limited
  • King Arthur Baking Company
  • Sankalp Quality Foods
  • Doves Farm
  • Healthy Grain
  • Bob's Red Mill Natural Foods
  • Grain Millers, Inc.
  • Pillsbury Company
  • White Lily
  • Annie's Homegrown
  • General Mills, Inc.
  • Hodgson Mill
  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
  • Organic Valley
  • Hain Celestial
  • Amy’s kitchen
  • United Natural Foods
  • Chiquita Brands
  • Eden Foods
  • Shanghai Food
  • Alberts Organics
  • Other Market Players

Market Segmentation

The non-GMO flour market is segmented based on product type, distribution channel, and end use, form. Based on the product type, the market is divided into wheat flour, corn flour, rice flour, and almond flour. Based on the distribution channel, the market is divided into online retail, supermarkets, health food stores, and wholesale. Based on the end use, the market is divided into baking, cooking, brewing, and snacking. Based on the form, the market is divided into whole grain, refined, and coarse.

The Wheat Flour Segment is Expected to Have the Highest Growth Rate During the Forecast Period

Based on the product type, the market is divided into wheat flour, corn flour, rice flour, and almond flour. Among these, the wheat flour segment is expected to have the highest growth rate during the forecast period. Wheat flour is a fundamental ingredient in a wide variety of everyday food products, such as bread, pasta, pastries, and baked goods. These products are consumed globally, making wheat flour one of the most widely used and in-demand flour in the world. Many consumers prioritize non-GMO products for their health and environmental benefits. Since wheat flour is a staple in many households, the demand for non-GMO wheat flour has grown in response to this shift toward natural, less-processed, and ethically produced ingredients. Non-GMO wheat flour aligns with organic, clean-label, and minimally processed food trends. Consumers looking for healthier, environmentally friendly, and ethically sourced products are more likely to choose non-GMO wheat flour. This growing preference fuels market demand.

The Baking Based Segment Dominates the Market

Based on the end use, the market is divided into baking, cooking, brewing, and snacking. Baking uses the highest volume of flour, especially wheat flour, in producing essential food products like bread, cakes, pastries, and other baked goods. Bread, in particular, is a staple food in many parts of the world, and there is increasing demand for Non-GMO ingredients in bread production due to consumer preferences for healthier, more natural products.

Consumers seeking non-GMO options often turn to baked goods as part of their everyday diet, including bread, muffins, cookies, and cakes. Many bakeries and food manufacturers have responded by offering non-GMO versions of their products to cater to this demand, driving the flour market. Non-GMO flour is used in both commercial baking industries and home baking, making it a versatile and high-demand ingredient. With the rise of clean-label and organic trends, consumers prefer using non-GMO flour for homemade baking, further boosting the market.

North America Has the Largest Market Share During the Forecast Period.

North America has a highly developed market for organic, natural, and specialty foods. Many organic food products are also non-GMO, which boosts the demand for non-GMO flour in organic bread, pasta, snacks, and baked goods. Several large food manufacturers and retailers in North America focus on offering non-GMO products to cater to consumer preferences. Major companies in the region, along with a growing number of startups, are producing and promoting non-GMO flour to meet market demand. The rising trends in home baking, especially during times like the COVID-19 pandemic, also contributed to the significant consumption of non-GMO flour in this region.

Recent Developments:

  • In Oct.2024, Hain Celestial, was able to expand its range of teas in time for the next winter months by adding two additional non-GMO Project confirmed products with functional benefits. The brand's new Lemon Honey Drop and Sleepytime® Biotin Beauty Rest teas are carefully developed to evoke magical moments of delight while striking a balance between consumers' need for distinctive health goods and unrivaled flavor.
  • In Oct 2023, Amy’s Kitchen revealed Family Size Entrées, a brand-new lunchtime option that will be available this month in the freezer department. Amy's is adopting a new packaging design and will provide six dishes that are tailored to busy families looking for a quick dinner that the whole family can enjoy. Family Size Entrées are prepared with organic and non-GMO ingredients, much like the rest of Amy's products.

Non-GMO Flour Market Report Scope

Report Attribute Specifications
Market Size Value In 2023 USD 27.7 Bn
Revenue Forecast In 2031 USD 37.2 Bn
Growth Rate CAGR CAGR of 3.9% from 2024 to 2031
Quantitative Units Representation of revenue in US$ Bn and CAGR from 2024 to 2031
Historic Year 2019 to 2023
Forecast Year 2024-2031
Report Coverage The forecast of revenue, the position of the company, the competitive market structure, growth prospects, and trends
Segments Covered By Product Type, Distribution Channel, End Use, and Form
Regional Scope North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; Middle East & Africa
Country Scope U.S.; Canada; U.K.; Germany; China; India; Japan; Brazil; Mexico; France; Italy; Spain; South Korea; South East Asia
Competitive Landscape Munkebo, Cargill, Incorporated, Bunge Limited, King Arthur Baking Company, Sankalp Quality Foods, Doves Farm, Healthy Grain, Bob's Red Mill, Natural Foods, Grain Millers, Inc., Pillsbury Company, White Lily, Annie's Homegrown, General Mills, Inc., Hodgson Mill, Archer Daniels Midland Company, Organic Valley, Hain Celestial, Amy’s Kitchen, United Natural Foods, Chiquita Brands, Eden Foods, Shanghai Food, Alberts Organics
Customization Scope Free customization report with the procurement of the report and modifications to the regional and segment scope. Particular Geographic competitive landscape.
Pricing and Available Payment Methods Explore pricing alternatives that are customized to your particular study requirements.

Segmentation of the Non-GMO Flour Market

Global Non-GMO Flour Market- By Product Type

  • Wheat Flour
  • Corn Flour
  • Rice Flour
  • Almond Flour

non gmo flour

Global Non-GMO Flour Market – By Distribution Channel

  • Online Retail
  • Supermarkets
  • Health Food Stores
  • Wholesale

Global Non-GMO Flour Market – By End Use

  • Baking
  • Cooking
  • Brewing
  • Snacking

Global Non-GMO Flour Market – By Form

  • Whole Grain
  • Refined
  • Coarse

Global Non-GMO Flour Market – By Region

North America-

  • The US
  • Canada
  • Mexico

Europe-

  • Germany
  • The UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe

Asia-Pacific-

  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • Southeast Asia
  • Rest of Asia Pacific

Latin America-

  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Rest of Latin America

 Middle East & Africa-

  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of the Middle East and Africa

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Research Design and Approach

This study employed a multi-step, mixed-method research approach that integrates:

  • Secondary research
  • Primary research
  • Data triangulation
  • Hybrid top-down and bottom-up modelling
  • Forecasting and scenario analysis

This approach ensures a balanced and validated understanding of both macro- and micro-level market factors influencing the market.

Secondary Research

Secondary research for this study involved the collection, review, and analysis of publicly available and paid data sources to build the initial fact base, understand historical market behaviour, identify data gaps, and refine the hypotheses for primary research.

Sources Consulted

Secondary data for the market study was gathered from multiple credible sources, including:

  • Government databases, regulatory bodies, and public institutions
  • International organizations (WHO, OECD, IMF, World Bank, etc.)
  • Commercial and paid databases
  • Industry associations, trade publications, and technical journals
  • Company annual reports, investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings
  • Academic research papers, patents, and scientific literature
  • Previous market research publications and syndicated reports

These sources were used to compile historical data, market volumes/prices, industry trends, technological developments, and competitive insights.

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Primary research was conducted to validate secondary data, understand real-time market dynamics, capture price points and adoption trends, and verify the assumptions used in the market modelling.

Stakeholders Interviewed

Primary interviews for this study involved:

  • Manufacturers and suppliers in the market value chain
  • Distributors, channel partners, and integrators
  • End-users / customers (e.g., hospitals, labs, enterprises, consumers, etc., depending on the market)
  • Industry experts, technology specialists, consultants, and regulatory professionals
  • Senior executives (CEOs, CTOs, VPs, Directors) and product managers

Interview Process

Interviews were conducted via:

  • Structured and semi-structured questionnaires
  • Telephonic and video interactions
  • Email correspondences
  • Expert consultation sessions

Primary insights were incorporated into demand modelling, pricing analysis, technology evaluation, and market share estimation.

Data Processing, Normalization, and Validation

All collected data were processed and normalized to ensure consistency and comparability across regions and time frames.

The data validation process included:

  • Standardization of units (currency conversions, volume units, inflation adjustments)
  • Cross-verification of data points across multiple secondary sources
  • Normalization of inconsistent datasets
  • Identification and resolution of data gaps
  • Outlier detection and removal through algorithmic and manual checks
  • Plausibility and coherence checks across segments and geographies

This ensured that the dataset used for modelling was clean, robust, and reliable.

Market Size Estimation and Data Triangulation

Bottom-Up Approach

The bottom-up approach involved aggregating segment-level data, such as:

  • Company revenues
  • Product-level sales
  • Installed base/usage volumes
  • Adoption and penetration rates
  • Pricing analysis

This method was primarily used when detailed micro-level market data were available.

Bottom Up Approach

Top-Down Approach

The top-down approach used macro-level indicators:

  • Parent market benchmarks
  • Global/regional industry trends
  • Economic indicators (GDP, demographics, spending patterns)
  • Penetration and usage ratios

This approach was used for segments where granular data were limited or inconsistent.

Hybrid Triangulation Approach

To ensure accuracy, a triangulated hybrid model was used. This included:

  • Reconciling top-down and bottom-up estimates
  • Cross-checking revenues, volumes, and pricing assumptions
  • Incorporating expert insights to validate segment splits and adoption rates

This multi-angle validation yielded the final market size.

Forecasting Framework and Scenario Modelling

Market forecasts were developed using a combination of time-series modelling, adoption curve analysis, and driver-based forecasting tools.

Forecasting Methods

  • Time-series modelling
  • S-curve and diffusion models (for emerging technologies)
  • Driver-based forecasting (GDP, disposable income, adoption rates, regulatory changes)
  • Price elasticity models
  • Market maturity and lifecycle-based projections

Scenario Analysis

Given inherent uncertainties, three scenarios were constructed:

  • Base-Case Scenario: Expected trajectory under current conditions
  • Optimistic Scenario: High adoption, favourable regulation, strong economic tailwinds
  • Conservative Scenario: Slow adoption, regulatory delays, economic constraints

Sensitivity testing was conducted on key variables, including pricing, demand elasticity, and regional adoption.

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Non-GMO Flour Market Size is valued at USD 27.7 Bn in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 37.2 Bn by the year 2031

The Non-GMO Flour Market is expected to grow at an 3.9% CAGR during the forecast period for 2024-2031.

Munkebo, Cargill, Incorporated, Bunge Limited, King Arthur Baking Company, Sankalp Quality Foods, Doves Farm, Healthy Grain, Bob's Red Mill, Natural F

Product Type, Distribution Channel, End Use, and Form are the key segments of the Non-GMO Flour Market.

North American region is leading the Non-GMO Flour Market.
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