Zero Emission Vehicle Market Share & Trends Analysis Report, By Vehicle Class (Passenger Cars, Commercial Vehicles, Two-Wheeler), By Drive (Front Wheel, Rear Wheel, All-Wheel), By Top Speed (Less than 100 Mph, 100 to 125 Mph, more than 125 Mph), By Vehicle Type, By Region, and Segment Forecasts, 2024-2031

Report Id: 2825 Pages: 165 Last Updated: 22 October 2024 Format: PDF / PPT / Excel / Power BI
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The Zero Emission Vehicle Market Size is valued at USD 191.3 Bn in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 548.1 Bn by the year 2031 at an 14.3% CAGR during the forecast period for 2024-2031.

zero emission

Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEVs) are automobiles powered by renewable energy sources, such as electricity or hydrogen, that emit no emissions from their tailpipes during operation. This reduces greenhouse gases and air pollutants, making them more environmentally friendly compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. The shift towards ZEVs is driven by increased environmental awareness, stricter emissions regulations, technological advancements, and government incentives. Powered by electricity stored in batteries, ZEVs contribute to cleaner air and a healthier planet by reducing air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, they offer lower operating costs due to reduced fuel consumption and maintenance needs. Ongoing advancements in ZEV technology are further improving their performance and range, making them an increasingly attractive option for consumers.

Zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) regulations are government mandates designed to accelerate the adoption of ZEVs by requiring automakers to sell a certain percentage of these vehicles. ZEVs include battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). These regulations play a crucial role in reducing emissions from conventional vehicles and promoting the use of cleaner, electric alternatives. The primary aim of ZEV regulations is to help achieve long-term emission reduction goals by mandating that manufacturers offer the cleanest vehicles for sale. In August 2023, India implemented a ZEV mandate policy as a key measure to drive the growth of its electric vehicle market. This policy decision has gained significance globally, as it has been shown to boost investment and rapidly expand the electric vehicle market.

Competitive Landscape

Some of the Major Key Players in the Zero Emission Vehicle Market are

  • BMW Group
  • Ford Motor Company
  • General Motors
  • Honda Motor Co Ltd
  • Hyundai
  • KIA
  • Mercedes
  • Nissan Motors
  • Stellantis NV
  • Tesla, Inc
  • Toyota Motor Corporation
  • Volkswagen AG
  • Lucid Motors
  • Volvo
  • Fiat
  • Toyota
  • Ampere Vehicles
  • BENLING INDIA ENERGY AND TECHNOLOGY PVT LTD
  • BYD Co. Ltd.
  • Chevrolet Motor Company
  • Energica Motor Company
  • Karma Automotive
  • Kia Corporation
  • Lucid Group, Inc.
  • Mahindra Electric Mobility Limited
  • Nio
  • Tata Motors
  • Daimler AG
  • Xpeng

Market Segmentation

The Zero Emission Vehicle Market is segmented based on the vehicle class, drive, top speed, and vehicle type. Based on the vehicle class, the market is divided into passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and two-wheelers. Based on the drive, the market is divided into front-wheel, rear-wheel, and all-wheel. Based on the top speed, the market is divided into less than 100 mph, 100 to 125 mph, and more than 125 mph. Based on vehicle type, the market is divided into battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs).

The Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) Segment is Expected to Have the Highest Growth Rate During the Forecast Period

Based on vehicle type, the market is divided into battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). Among these, the battery electric vehicles (BEVs) segment is expected to have the highest growth rate during the forecast period. BEV technology, especially battery performance and range, has improved substantially in recent years. This has produced more affordable and longer-range BEVs, making them appealing to consumers. BEVs are generally more cost-effective due to lower vehicle prices and operational costs (charging is often cheaper than hydrogen refuelling). In contrast, FCEVs remain more expensive to produce, and hydrogen as a fuel is less accessible in many regions. The charging infrastructure for BEVs is more developed and widespread than that of hydrogen refuelling stations for FCEVs. The growth of fast-charging networks has significantly boosted BEV adoption. Many governments have introduced policies and incentives that strongly favour BEVs, such as subsidies, tax credits, and investments in charging infrastructure. These incentives have accelerated BEV sales globally.

The Passenger Cars Segment Dominates the Market

The market is divided into passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and two-wheelers based on the vehicle class. Among these, Passenger electric cars, particularly Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs), have seen widespread adoption due to increasing environmental awareness, government incentives, and advancements in electric vehicle technology, such as longer range and faster charging. Many governments globally offer subsidies, tax breaks, and rebates to promote the purchase of electric passenger cars. Additionally, policies like Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandates have targeted passenger cars as a key area for reducing emissions. Charging infrastructure for passenger cars is more established and continues to expand, further encouraging the adoption of electric passenger cars over other vehicle types.

North America Has the Largest Market Share During the Forecast Period.

North American consumers, especially in certain states, have become more environmentally conscious, increasing demand for cleaner vehicle options. The region has a strong base of early adopters who embrace new technologies, such as electric vehicles, contributing to high ZEV demand. The U.S. has one of the most developed charging infrastructures in the world, with a growing number of public and private charging stations. This makes ZEV ownership more convenient, reducing range anxiety and supporting market growth. North America, especially Silicon Valley, is home to many innovative technology companies that drive advancements in electric vehicles, battery technology, and autonomous driving. This innovation ecosystem fuels the growth of the ZEV market. 

Recent Developments:

  • In February 2024, the Fiat Innovative 2024 FIAT® 500e Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) will combine state-of-the-art high-voltage battery technology with sleek Italian design to create an exhilarating electric vehicle driving experience.
  • In July 2023, Lucid Motors and Aston Martin will collaborate together to establish a brand-new platform for Aston Martin electric vehicles. To help the in-house built Aston Martin BEVs, Lucid will share its existing and future powertrain and battery expertise. Additionally, over the following five years, the automaker plans to invest two billion euros in the advancement of both ICE and BEV technology.

Zero Emission Vehicle Market Report Scope

Report Attribute Specifications
Market Size Value In 2023 USD 191.3 Bn
Revenue Forecast In 2031 USD 548.1 Bn
Growth Rate CAGR CAGR of 14.3% from 2024 to 2031
Quantitative Units Representation of revenue in US$ Bn and CAGR from 2024 to 2031
Historic Year 2019 to 2023
Forecast Year 2024-2031
Report Coverage The forecast of revenue, the position of the company, the competitive market structure, growth prospects, and trends
Segments Covered By Vehicle Class, Drive, Top Speed, Vehicle Type
Regional Scope North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; Middle East & Africa
Country Scope U.S.; Canada; U.K.; Germany; China; India; Japan; Brazil; Mexico; France; Italy; Spain; South Korea; South East Asia
Competitive Landscape BMW Group, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, Honda Motor Co Ltd, Hyundai, KIA, Mercedes, Nissan Motors, Stellantis NV, Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, Volkswagen AG, Lucid Motors, Volvo, Fiat, Toyota, Ampere Vehicles, BENLING INDIA ENERGY AND TECHNOLOGY PVT LTD, BYD Co. Ltd., Chevrolet Motor Company, Energica Motor Company, Karma Automotive, Lucid Group, Inc., Mahindra Electric Mobility Limited, Nio, Tata Motors, Daimler AG, Xpeng
Customization Scope Free customization report with the procurement of the report and modifications to the regional and segment scope. Particular Geographic competitive landscape.
Pricing and Available Payment Methods Explore pricing alternatives that are customized to your particular study requirements.

Segmentation of Zero Emission Vehicle Market

Global Zero Emission Vehicle Market- By Vehicle Class

  • Passenger Cars
    • Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
    • Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)
  • Commercial Vehicles
    • Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
    • Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)
  • Two-Wheeler
    • Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
    • Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)

zero emission

Global Zero Emission Vehicle Market – By Vehicle Type

  • Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
  • Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)

Global Zero Emission Vehicle Market – By Drive

  • Front Wheel Drive
  • Rear Wheel Drive
  • All-Wheel Drive

Global Zero Emission Vehicle Market – By Top Speed

  • Less than 100 Mph
  • 100 to 125 Mph
  • More than 125 Mph

Global Zero Emission Vehicle Market – By Region

North America-

  • The US
  • Canada
  • Mexico

Europe-

  • Germany
  • The UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe

Asia-Pacific-

  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • Southeast Asia
  • Rest of Asia Pacific

Latin America-

  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Rest of Latin America

 Middle East & Africa-

  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of the Middle East and Africa

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Research Design and Approach

This study employed a multi-step, mixed-method research approach that integrates:

  • Secondary research
  • Primary research
  • Data triangulation
  • Hybrid top-down and bottom-up modelling
  • Forecasting and scenario analysis

This approach ensures a balanced and validated understanding of both macro- and micro-level market factors influencing the market.

Secondary Research

Secondary research for this study involved the collection, review, and analysis of publicly available and paid data sources to build the initial fact base, understand historical market behaviour, identify data gaps, and refine the hypotheses for primary research.

Sources Consulted

Secondary data for the market study was gathered from multiple credible sources, including:

  • Government databases, regulatory bodies, and public institutions
  • International organizations (WHO, OECD, IMF, World Bank, etc.)
  • Commercial and paid databases
  • Industry associations, trade publications, and technical journals
  • Company annual reports, investor presentations, press releases, and SEC filings
  • Academic research papers, patents, and scientific literature
  • Previous market research publications and syndicated reports

These sources were used to compile historical data, market volumes/prices, industry trends, technological developments, and competitive insights.

Secondary Research

Primary Research

Primary research was conducted to validate secondary data, understand real-time market dynamics, capture price points and adoption trends, and verify the assumptions used in the market modelling.

Stakeholders Interviewed

Primary interviews for this study involved:

  • Manufacturers and suppliers in the market value chain
  • Distributors, channel partners, and integrators
  • End-users / customers (e.g., hospitals, labs, enterprises, consumers, etc., depending on the market)
  • Industry experts, technology specialists, consultants, and regulatory professionals
  • Senior executives (CEOs, CTOs, VPs, Directors) and product managers

Interview Process

Interviews were conducted via:

  • Structured and semi-structured questionnaires
  • Telephonic and video interactions
  • Email correspondences
  • Expert consultation sessions

Primary insights were incorporated into demand modelling, pricing analysis, technology evaluation, and market share estimation.

Data Processing, Normalization, and Validation

All collected data were processed and normalized to ensure consistency and comparability across regions and time frames.

The data validation process included:

  • Standardization of units (currency conversions, volume units, inflation adjustments)
  • Cross-verification of data points across multiple secondary sources
  • Normalization of inconsistent datasets
  • Identification and resolution of data gaps
  • Outlier detection and removal through algorithmic and manual checks
  • Plausibility and coherence checks across segments and geographies

This ensured that the dataset used for modelling was clean, robust, and reliable.

Market Size Estimation and Data Triangulation

Bottom-Up Approach

The bottom-up approach involved aggregating segment-level data, such as:

  • Company revenues
  • Product-level sales
  • Installed base/usage volumes
  • Adoption and penetration rates
  • Pricing analysis

This method was primarily used when detailed micro-level market data were available.

Bottom Up Approach

Top-Down Approach

The top-down approach used macro-level indicators:

  • Parent market benchmarks
  • Global/regional industry trends
  • Economic indicators (GDP, demographics, spending patterns)
  • Penetration and usage ratios

This approach was used for segments where granular data were limited or inconsistent.

Hybrid Triangulation Approach

To ensure accuracy, a triangulated hybrid model was used. This included:

  • Reconciling top-down and bottom-up estimates
  • Cross-checking revenues, volumes, and pricing assumptions
  • Incorporating expert insights to validate segment splits and adoption rates

This multi-angle validation yielded the final market size.

Forecasting Framework and Scenario Modelling

Market forecasts were developed using a combination of time-series modelling, adoption curve analysis, and driver-based forecasting tools.

Forecasting Methods

  • Time-series modelling
  • S-curve and diffusion models (for emerging technologies)
  • Driver-based forecasting (GDP, disposable income, adoption rates, regulatory changes)
  • Price elasticity models
  • Market maturity and lifecycle-based projections

Scenario Analysis

Given inherent uncertainties, three scenarios were constructed:

  • Base-Case Scenario: Expected trajectory under current conditions
  • Optimistic Scenario: High adoption, favourable regulation, strong economic tailwinds
  • Conservative Scenario: Slow adoption, regulatory delays, economic constraints

Sensitivity testing was conducted on key variables, including pricing, demand elasticity, and regional adoption.

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Zero Emission Vehicle Market Size is valued at USD 191.3 Bn in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 548.1 Bn by the year 2031

The Zero Emission Vehicle Market is expected to grow at an 14.3% CAGR during the forecast period for 2024-2031.

BMW Group, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, Honda Motor Co Ltd, Hyundai, KIA, Mercedes, Nissan Motors, Stellantis NV, Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corp
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